Robust and Reliable Early-Stage Lifetime Prediction of Batteries via Transferable One-Shot Learning
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更新:2025-11-10 12:17:55 浏览:100次
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摘要
Accurate early-stage lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries is essential for their optimised utilisation and accelerated product development. However, obtaining full-cycle degradation data under normal usage conditions is both costly and time-consuming. Accelerated ageing tests offer a practical alternative, but a key challenge remains: how to generalise models trained on such data to normally aged batteries—an out-of-distribution (OOD) problem common in real-world applications. To address this, we propose a transferable one-shot diagnostic framework that requires only limited lifetime labels from short-life cells (averaging ~484 cycles) subjected to accelerated ageing, along with a single long-life cell (>1200 cycles) under normal conditions, to facilitate accurate predictions across the long-life population. Validation results show that the proposed model generalises effectively to long-life cells exceeding 800 cycles (with an average lifespan of 1147 cycles and a maximum of 2227 cycles), achieving an average prediction error below 15% across 10 independent runs of model training and testing. Compared to conventional baselines, the framework yields a substantial accuracy improvement of up to 68%, demonstrating its efficacy for robust and reliable early-stage lifetime prediction under OOD conditions.
关键词
Lithium-ion batteries, life prediction, early life, one-shot learning, accelerated ageing test, variational autoencoder
稿件作者
Ruohan Guo
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Jinpeng Tian
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Dandan Peng
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Chi-yung Chung
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
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