A Significantly Shrinking Trend of Habitable CompositeVolume Derived from Earth System Boundaries: Historicaand Proiected Analysis
编号:101 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-11-05 17:34:07 浏览:3次 口头报告

报告开始:暂无开始时间(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:暂无持续时间

所在会场:[暂无会议] [暂无会议段]

暂无文件

摘要
  Human-induced environmental changes are rapidly reshaping the Earth system, withsignificant implications for human habitability. While existing safe and just Earthsystem boundaries have delineated critical thresholds for various planetary processes,the future evolution of human habitable conditions remains unclear. Here we proposethe habitable composite volume (HCV),defined on a three- dimensionalenvironmental phase space P,to quantify the collapsing boundaries of humanhabitability under the Great Acceleration. The historical period (1981-2014demonstrates persistent HCV decline from 0.66 to 0.48. Under the projections of theShared Socioeconomic Pathways, HCV may decline by up to 78% by 2100, withcollapsing areas encompassing 91.6% of global land, drastically reducing viableliving space. Most alarmingly, high-risk regions-where collapse coincides with largepopulations -expand nearly tenfold (1.7% to 16-18%)under moderate-to-highemissions, extending from developing regions to all continents demanding immediateglobal action. These findings highlight the escalating risks to human habitability andunderscore the urgency of both mitigation and adaptation strategies to address this global crisis.
关键词
Earth system boundaries,habitable composite volume,Sustainable Development,climate change
报告人
文杰 董
教授 中山大学

稿件作者
文杰 董 中山大学
发表评论
验证码 看不清楚,更换一张
全部评论
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月20日

    2025

    11月24日

    2025

  • 11月10日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 11月24日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
太平洋科学协会
承办单位
Shantou University
Xiamen University
联系方式
移动端
在手机上打开
小程序
打开微信小程序
客服
扫码或点此咨询