ENSO’s Changing Grip on Bering Sea Ice: The Emerging Control of the North Pacific Meridional Mode
编号:138 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-11-06 17:09:28 浏览:32次 口头报告

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摘要
Bering Sea winter sea ice (BSWI), vital for regional climate, ecosystem, and livelihoods, is significantly influenced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here we identify a shift in the ENSO-BSWI relationship. Pre-mid-1990s, traditional eastern Pacific ENSO dominated, driving a positive ENSO-BSWI linkage; Post-mid-1990s, more frequent Central Pacific (CP) ENSO events reversed this relationship to negative. Observations and model experiments show CP El Niño coupled with positive-phase North Pacific Meridional Mode (NPMM) redirects poleward-propagating Rossby wave trains, enhancing Bering Sea southerlies. This suppresses ice advection, intensifies warm air intrusion, and reduces BSWI. Strengthened CP ENSO-NPMM coupling and heightened NPMM variability amplify this teleconnection, increasing its influence on BSWI by 38.9% versus NPMM alone. Our findings underscore the growing role of subtropical and tropical Pacific climate interactions in subarctic sea ice variability and highlight the need for improved climate models that capture ENSO diversity, NPMM dynamics, and subtropical-subarctic teleconnections to enhance BSWI projections under climate change. 
关键词
Bering Sea Ice, North Pacific Meridional Mode, Central Pacific ENSO, poleward-propagating Rossby wave trains, mid-1990s
报告人
Jiepeng Chen
Researcher Chinese Academy of Sciences;South China Sea Institute of Oceanology

稿件作者
Jiepeng Chen Chinese Academy of Sciences;South China Sea Institute of Oceanology
Sheng Chen South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Zhuoqi He South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月20日

    2025

    11月24日

    2025

  • 11月10日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 11月24日 2025

    注册截止日期

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Xiamen University
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