An Empirical Study of Zero-Shot Imputation and Forecasting with Time-Series Foundation Models
编号:19 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-11-10 16:11:38 浏览:10次 In-person

报告开始:2026年11月20日 14:15(Asia/Kolkata)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S5] Data Science and Intelligent Analytics [S5-1] Data Science and Intelligent Analytics

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摘要
Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) can impute missing values and forecast unseen series without training, but the effect of zero-shot imputation on a subsequent zero-shot forecast has not been measured. This paper evaluates a fully zero-shot impute-then-forecast pipeline. Three TSFM imputers (MOMENT, TSPulse and TS-ICL) and linear interpolation fill the contexts of five public datasets from which 4 to 32 percent of all values have been removed, either uniformly at random or concentrated in the most recent part of each series (tail-concentrated), and two TSFM forecasters (Chronos-2 and TimesFM 3.0) forecast from each imputed context. Imputation is causal, and each forecast is compared with a forecast from the clean context. Under random missingness, forecasting accuracy on four datasets stays close to the clean-context reference for every imputer except MOMENT, whereas under tail-concentrated missingness, which leaves about half of the recent context missing, every imputer degrades it on average. TS-ICL is the most accurate and least harmful imputer under both patterns, whereas linear interpolation is competitive only under random missingness.
关键词
time-series foundation models,missing data imputation,zero-shot forecasting
报告人
Aditya Sinha
Student Defense Institute of Advanced Technology

稿件作者
Aditya Sinha Defense Institute of Advanced Technology
Sushma Kumari Pune;Defence Institute of Advanced Technology (DIAT)
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月20日

    2026

    至

    11月22日

    2026

  • 10月31日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 11月07日 2026

    提前注册日期

  • 11月22日 2026

    注册截止日期

主办单位
United Societies of Science
承办单位
Pondicherry University
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IEEE Section
IEEE Madras Section
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