Student Academic Risk Prediction Using Random Forest and XGBoost
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报告开始:2026年11月21日 15:30(Asia/Kolkata)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S5] Data Science and Intelligent Analytics [S5-4] Data Science and Intelligent Analytics4

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摘要
Higher education institutions generate large volumes of academic data; however, these data are often underutilized for proactive decision-making and early identification of at-risk students. This study proposes an intelligent academic records framework that integrates ensemble machine learning within a microservice-based architecture to address this limitation. The methodology combines Random Forest and XGBoost models, leveraging both robustness and predictive capability, while transforming academic records into structured feature vectors using performance-based and progression-based indicators such as GPA, completion ratio, failure rate, and GPA trends. The system is deployed through a Python-based microservice and integrated into a web-based academic platform via RESTful APIs for real-time inference. Experimental results using an 80:20 train–test split with 5-fold cross-validation demonstrate that the ensemble model outperforms individual classifiers, achieving 0.93 accuracy, 0.91 precision, 0.90 recall, 0.90 F1-score, and an AUC of 0.95. These findings confirm that the proposed framework provides a scalable, interpretable, and deployable solution that enhances predictive performance and supports early academic intervention.
关键词
Machine Learning, Random Forest, XGBoost, Academic Analytics, Ensemble Learning, Student Performance Prediction
报告人
Joseph Jaymel Morpos
Doctoral Student Cebu Institute of Technology

稿件作者
Joseph Jaymel Morpos Cebu Institute of Technology
Larmie Feliscuzo Cebu Institute of Technology
Cheryl Pantaleon Cebu Institute of Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月20日

    2026

    至

    11月22日

    2026

  • 10月31日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 11月07日 2026

    提前注册日期

  • 11月22日 2026

    注册截止日期

主办单位
United Societies of Science
承办单位
Pondicherry University
协办单位
IEEE Section
IEEE Madras Section
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